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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College2.26+3.49vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.16+2.88vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.81+1.51vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College1.85+0.23vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.84-2.70vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University2.71-4.51vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University1.35-3.57vs Predicted
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11Amherst College2.01-5.98vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy1.21-5.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49Bates College2.260.1%1st Place
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4.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.160.1%1st Place
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5.51University of New Hampshire1.810.1%1st Place
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5.23Middlebury College1.850.1%1st Place
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3.3Northeastern University2.840.3%1st Place
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3.49Wesleyan University2.710.2%1st Place
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6.43Brandeis University1.350.1%1st Place
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5.02Amherst College2.010.1%1st Place
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6.65Maine Maritime Academy1.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Pierce | 12.4% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 4.5% |
| Michael Reney | 7.0% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 6.0% |
| Neal Drake | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 12.1% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 9.9% |
| Conor Lodge | 25.1% | 20.5% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| John McGlynn | 19.6% | 18.9% | 17.8% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Andrea Verdeja | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 18.4% | 25.3% |
| Tyler Black | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 7.9% |
| Matthew Butcka | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 17.5% | 31.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.