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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.62+4.48vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.07+5.38vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.44+6.90vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.06+7.05vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.81-0.29vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.77+2.33vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+1.52vs Predicted
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8Princeton University2.35-1.90vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+2.20vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.70+2.81vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.29-4.50vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University1.13-0.79vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.52-3.76vs Predicted
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14The Citadel1.11-3.32vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.79-6.78vs Predicted
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16Harvard University0.65-3.18vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.90-5.13vs Predicted
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18SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.48Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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9.9Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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11.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.060.0%1st Place
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4.71Bowdoin College2.810.2%1st Place
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8.33Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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8.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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6.1Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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11.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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12.81Connecticut College0.700.0%1st Place
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6.5Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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11.21Northwestern University1.130.0%1st Place
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9.24Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.68The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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8.22Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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12.82Harvard University0.650.0%1st Place
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11.87University of Vermont0.900.0%1st Place
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14.96SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 12.3% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Aidan Brown | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 17.9% | 15.4% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Connor Mraz | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 4.6% |
| Andrew Powers | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 11.8% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Quinn | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Gregory Walters | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% |
| Everett Nash | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Paul Kuechler | 2.3% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 13.5% |
| Luke Quine | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.4% |
| Kristin Hess | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 39.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.