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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.90+11.02vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.35+4.37vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.07+4.45vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+4.46vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+6.14vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.13+5.01vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.81-2.29vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.62-2.68vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.52+0.46vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.77-1.32vs Predicted
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11Harvard University0.65+1.88vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.06-0.38vs Predicted
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13The Citadel1.11-2.15vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.44-4.57vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.96-3.39vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.79-7.64vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.29-10.38vs Predicted
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18SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.02University of Vermont0.900.0%1st Place
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6.37Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.45University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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8.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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11.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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11.01Northwestern University1.130.0%1st Place
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4.71Bowdoin College2.810.2%1st Place
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5.32Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.46Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.68Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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12.88Harvard University0.650.0%1st Place
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11.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.060.0%1st Place
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10.85The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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9.43Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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11.61Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
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8.36Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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6.62Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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15.01SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Quine | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.4% |
| Connor Mraz | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Kai Ponting | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 5.9% |
| Thomas Quinn | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 15.2% | 18.1% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 13.3% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Jack Flores | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Paul Kuechler | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 14.0% |
| Aidan Brown | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 6.6% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% |
| Everett Nash | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kristin Hess | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 39.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.