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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.79+7.54vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+6.78vs Predicted
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3Princeton University2.35+3.39vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.07+3.21vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.06+6.15vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.44+3.75vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.77+1.40vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.52+1.40vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.29-2.68vs Predicted
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10Harvard University0.65+3.05vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.81-6.19vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.62-6.42vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.90-1.27vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-2.99vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.12+0.12vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University1.13-4.93vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.96-5.19vs Predicted
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18The Citadel1.11-7.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.54Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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8.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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6.39Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.21University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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11.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.060.0%1st Place
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9.75Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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8.4Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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9.4Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.32Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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13.05Harvard University0.650.0%1st Place
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4.81Bowdoin College2.810.2%1st Place
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5.58Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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11.73University of Vermont0.900.0%1st Place
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11.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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15.12SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.0%1st Place
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11.07Northwestern University1.130.0%1st Place
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11.81Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
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10.91The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Nash | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Connor Mraz | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Aidan Brown | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Jack Flores | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Paul Kuechler | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 15.3% |
| Thomas Hall | 15.4% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 13.2% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Quine | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.3% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 4.9% |
| Kristin Hess | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 41.6% |
| Thomas Quinn | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 4.4% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 7.2% |
| Gregory Walters | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.