Race 3A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
John McGlynn 19.3% 17.9% 14.5% 15.3% 12.9% 9.6% 4.9% 4.3% 1.3%
Michael Reney 7.5% 12.5% 12.1% 13.0% 12.3% 13.6% 13.0% 10.2% 5.8%
Neal Drake 7.7% 7.9% 8.7% 11.6% 10.7% 12.4% 14.8% 13.1% 13.1%
Andrea Verdeja 5.1% 4.6% 7.5% 8.7% 7.7% 12.3% 13.3% 15.7% 25.1%
Tyler Black 11.1% 11.7% 12.0% 10.4% 11.9% 10.7% 12.6% 11.7% 7.9%
Conor Lodge 22.3% 21.8% 16.4% 12.4% 10.9% 7.7% 5.7% 1.9% 0.9%
Matthew Butcka 5.5% 3.6% 4.8% 5.3% 8.7% 10.1% 11.7% 19.4% 30.9%
David Pierce 12.9% 11.7% 13.0% 14.2% 12.8% 10.8% 10.5% 9.4% 4.7%
Nicholas Dragone 8.6% 8.3% 11.0% 9.1% 12.1% 12.8% 13.5% 14.3% 10.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.