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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.25+7.50vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.90+4.27vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.05+2.90vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61+3.42vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.34-0.08vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.81+4.51vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.12-1.32vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57-0.54vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.69-1.74vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.00-4.05vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.25-2.17vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.66-1.23vs Predicted
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13Harvard University0.34-0.97vs Predicted
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14Princeton University0.34-1.95vs Predicted
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15The Citadel0.11-2.40vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-4.26vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook-0.85-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.5Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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6.27Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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5.9Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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7.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.1%1st Place
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4.92University of Rhode Island2.340.1%1st Place
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10.51University of Vermont0.810.0%1st Place
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5.68Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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7.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.1%1st Place
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7.26Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.95Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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8.83Bowdoin College1.250.1%1st Place
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10.77Connecticut College0.660.0%1st Place
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12.03Harvard University0.340.0%1st Place
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12.05Princeton University0.340.0%1st Place
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12.6The Citadel0.110.0%1st Place
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11.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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15.1SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Shea Smith | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Eastman | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Scherer | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 14.9% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Morris | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 3.2% |
| Will Priebe | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lars Osell | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Connor Macken | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Christine Reimer | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Liam Gronda | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 3.6% |
| Matthew Cabot | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 9.4% |
| Jasper Waldman | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 8.9% |
| Lewis Bragg | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 18.8% | 13.3% |
| Max Case | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 7.5% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 15.1% | 51.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.