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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.79+1.54vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.17+1.61vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.96+0.95vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.30+1.15vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.39-1.78vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.79-0.05vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute0.94-1.21vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.86-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54Georgetown University2.790.3%1st Place
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3.61U. S. Naval Academy2.170.2%1st Place
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3.95Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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5.15George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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3.22George Washington University2.390.2%1st Place
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5.95St. Mary's College of Maryland0.790.0%1st Place
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5.79Webb Institute0.940.0%1st Place
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5.79U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 32.4% | 25.8% | 17.6% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Louis Margay | 16.2% | 15.3% | 19.7% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 1.3% |
| Joe Coyne | 12.8% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 18.1% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% |
| Jack Fisher | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 18.5% | 18.8% | 13.2% |
| Ryan Janov | 19.2% | 21.2% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Lucas Masiello | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 16.3% | 18.7% | 30.4% |
| Evan Spalding | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 22.6% | 25.5% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 21.3% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.