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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.17+2.52vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.39+1.25vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.96+0.94vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.79-1.38vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute0.94+0.77vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.30-0.89vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.79-0.97vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.86-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52U. S. Naval Academy2.170.2%1st Place
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3.25George Washington University2.390.2%1st Place
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3.94Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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2.62Georgetown University2.790.3%1st Place
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5.77Webb Institute0.940.0%1st Place
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5.11George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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6.03St. Mary's College of Maryland0.790.0%1st Place
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5.76U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Margay | 16.4% | 20.3% | 15.9% | 16.8% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Janov | 20.2% | 19.1% | 20.6% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Joe Coyne | 14.0% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 7.6% | 3.5% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 30.8% | 22.9% | 19.3% | 14.5% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Evan Spalding | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 17.1% | 23.5% | 22.6% |
| Jack Fisher | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 16.6% | 14.2% |
| Lucas Masiello | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 15.5% | 19.7% | 32.4% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 14.3% | 16.8% | 20.5% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.