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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.79+1.55vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.39+1.22vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.17+0.58vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.30+1.14vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.96-1.03vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute0.94-0.29vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.86-1.08vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.79-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55Georgetown University2.790.3%1st Place
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3.22George Washington University2.390.2%1st Place
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3.58U. S. Naval Academy2.170.2%1st Place
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5.14George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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3.97Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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5.71Webb Institute0.940.1%1st Place
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5.92U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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5.91St. Mary's College of Maryland0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 32.8% | 25.2% | 17.5% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Janov | 20.4% | 19.9% | 19.9% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Louis Margay | 15.7% | 17.7% | 17.6% | 18.2% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Jack Fisher | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 19.9% | 13.0% |
| Joe Coyne | 12.4% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 16.8% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 3.3% |
| Evan Spalding | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 18.2% | 24.6% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 21.8% | 28.6% |
| Lucas Masiello | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 21.4% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.