Race 4A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Conor Lodge 22.8% 18.5% 16.8% 13.7% 11.1% 8.7% 4.2% 3.1% 1.1%
Andrea Verdeja 3.8% 4.2% 6.1% 6.1% 10.0% 9.5% 14.1% 17.9% 28.3%
Michael Reney 11.1% 10.3% 12.8% 12.9% 12.1% 11.5% 12.7% 10.7% 5.9%
David Pierce 12.7% 13.5% 14.4% 13.2% 13.1% 10.3% 11.8% 7.0% 4.0%
Neal Drake 8.2% 10.9% 9.8% 11.5% 10.5% 10.7% 12.2% 15.4% 10.8%
Tyler Black 9.5% 9.5% 11.0% 13.9% 11.2% 14.6% 12.2% 10.2% 7.9%
Nicholas Dragone 8.2% 8.8% 9.8% 8.3% 12.0% 15.6% 13.5% 13.9% 9.9%
John McGlynn 19.4% 19.4% 14.3% 14.3% 12.5% 8.5% 6.3% 3.8% 1.5%
Matthew Butcka 4.3% 4.9% 5.0% 6.1% 7.5% 10.6% 13.0% 18.0% 30.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.