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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.79+1.56vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.39+1.23vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.96+0.94vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.17-0.40vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute0.94+0.76vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.86-0.17vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.30-1.84vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.79-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Georgetown University2.790.3%1st Place
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3.23George Washington University2.390.2%1st Place
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3.94Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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3.6U. S. Naval Academy2.170.2%1st Place
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5.76Webb Institute0.940.0%1st Place
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5.83U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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5.16George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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5.91St. Mary's College of Maryland0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 31.8% | 26.0% | 17.2% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Janov | 19.7% | 20.7% | 19.0% | 17.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Joe Coyne | 13.6% | 13.0% | 17.7% | 16.5% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 3.3% |
| Louis Margay | 16.1% | 16.3% | 18.2% | 17.9% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Evan Spalding | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 24.4% | 22.4% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 18.2% | 28.6% |
| Jack Fisher | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 17.7% | 14.8% |
| Lucas Masiello | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 20.8% | 27.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.