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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.79+1.54vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.17+1.61vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.39+0.19vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.960.00vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.30+0.13vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute0.94-0.29vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.86-1.10vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.79-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54Georgetown University2.790.3%1st Place
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3.61U. S. Naval Academy2.170.2%1st Place
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3.19George Washington University2.390.2%1st Place
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4.0Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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5.13George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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5.71Webb Institute0.940.1%1st Place
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5.9U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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5.91St. Mary's College of Maryland0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 32.5% | 25.2% | 18.3% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Louis Margay | 16.0% | 16.8% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Ryan Janov | 20.7% | 20.0% | 19.8% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Joe Coyne | 12.2% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 3.5% |
| Jack Fisher | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 19.0% | 17.1% | 13.1% |
| Evan Spalding | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 19.2% | 25.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 15.6% | 21.3% | 28.9% |
| Lucas Masiello | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 22.9% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.