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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.17+2.52vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.79+0.61vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.96+0.97vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.39-0.76vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.30+0.13vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute0.94-0.28vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.86-1.10vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.79-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52U. S. Naval Academy2.170.2%1st Place
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2.61Georgetown University2.790.3%1st Place
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3.97Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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3.24George Washington University2.390.2%1st Place
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5.13George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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5.72Webb Institute0.940.1%1st Place
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5.9U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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5.91St. Mary's College of Maryland0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Margay | 16.8% | 19.3% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 1.8% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 30.5% | 24.0% | 19.6% | 13.2% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Joe Coyne | 13.1% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 17.3% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 3.3% |
| Ryan Janov | 20.0% | 20.9% | 18.5% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Jack Fisher | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 18.1% | 18.4% | 12.6% |
| Evan Spalding | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 18.7% | 25.1% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 20.7% | 28.8% |
| Lucas Masiello | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 22.2% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.