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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.79+1.55vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.17+1.63vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.96+0.92vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.30+1.12vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.86+0.89vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.39-2.79vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.79-0.97vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute0.94-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55Georgetown University2.790.3%1st Place
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3.63U. S. Naval Academy2.170.2%1st Place
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3.92Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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5.12George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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5.89U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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3.21George Washington University2.390.2%1st Place
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6.03St. Mary's College of Maryland0.790.0%1st Place
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5.65Webb Institute0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 32.9% | 23.6% | 19.4% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Louis Margay | 15.5% | 17.9% | 17.8% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 1.6% |
| Joe Coyne | 13.5% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
| Jack Fisher | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 17.5% | 14.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 22.9% | 25.5% |
| Ryan Janov | 19.9% | 21.1% | 17.7% | 17.9% | 12.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Lucas Masiello | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 21.4% | 32.3% |
| Evan Spalding | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 18.2% | 20.2% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.