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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.79+1.55vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.17+1.60vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.96+0.93vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.39-0.76vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute0.94+0.75vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.30-0.92vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.86-1.08vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.79-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55Georgetown University2.790.3%1st Place
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3.6U. S. Naval Academy2.170.2%1st Place
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3.93Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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3.24George Washington University2.390.2%1st Place
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5.75Webb Institute0.940.0%1st Place
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5.08George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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5.92U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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5.92St. Mary's College of Maryland0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 32.5% | 24.0% | 19.0% | 12.0% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Louis Margay | 16.3% | 16.2% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| Joe Coyne | 13.1% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 3.2% |
| Ryan Janov | 19.9% | 21.4% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 13.0% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Evan Spalding | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 23.8% | 22.2% |
| Jack Fisher | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 14.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 20.0% | 29.8% |
| Lucas Masiello | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 20.3% | 27.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.