← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.79+1.54vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.17+1.61vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University2.39+0.19vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University1.960.00vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University1.30+0.13vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy0.86-0.16vs Predicted
-
7Webb Institute0.94-1.22vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.79-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.54Georgetown University2.790.3%1st Place
-
3.61U. S. Naval Academy2.170.2%1st Place
-
3.19George Washington University2.390.2%1st Place
-
4.0Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
-
5.13George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
-
5.84U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
-
5.78Webb Institute0.940.0%1st Place
-
5.92St. Mary's College of Maryland0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 32.4% | 25.2% | 18.5% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Louis Margay | 16.0% | 16.7% | 18.6% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Janov | 20.8% | 19.8% | 19.8% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Joe Coyne | 12.5% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 8.6% | 3.5% |
| Jack Fisher | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 18.7% | 17.6% | 12.9% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 19.6% | 27.9% |
| Evan Spalding | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 16.3% | 21.4% | 25.7% |
| Lucas Masiello | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 22.6% | 26.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.