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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.79+1.66vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.17+1.76vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.39+0.38vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.79+2.18vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.96-0.88vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.30-0.73vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.69-2.34vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.86-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Georgetown University2.790.3%1st Place
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3.76U. S. Naval Academy2.170.2%1st Place
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3.38George Washington University2.390.2%1st Place
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6.18St. Mary's College of Maryland0.790.0%1st Place
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4.12Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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5.27George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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4.66Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
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5.97U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 30.9% | 24.3% | 17.2% | 12.9% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Louis Margay | 15.3% | 14.8% | 18.0% | 17.2% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 2.7% |
| Ryan Janov | 18.9% | 18.9% | 18.7% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Lucas Masiello | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 20.0% | 36.8% |
| Joe Coyne | 11.4% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 17.4% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 3.9% |
| Jack Fisher | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 18.5% | 17.2% |
| Payne Donaldson | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 8.5% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 22.7% | 28.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.