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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.79+1.66vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.17+1.75vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.39+0.36vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.69+0.65vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.96-0.87vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.86+0.01vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.30-1.64vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.79-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Georgetown University2.790.3%1st Place
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3.75U. S. Naval Academy2.170.2%1st Place
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3.36George Washington University2.390.2%1st Place
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4.65Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
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4.13Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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6.01U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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5.36George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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6.09St. Mary's College of Maryland0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 30.6% | 24.7% | 18.1% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Louis Margay | 15.4% | 15.0% | 18.0% | 16.7% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 2.7% |
| Ryan Janov | 19.0% | 19.5% | 17.9% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Payne Donaldson | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 8.5% |
| Joe Coyne | 11.6% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 4.2% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 19.4% | 32.9% |
| Jack Fisher | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 20.0% | 17.7% |
| Lucas Masiello | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 22.4% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.