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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.17+2.68vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.79+0.73vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.39+0.35vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.30+1.34vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.86+1.09vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.69-1.42vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.96-2.84vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.79-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68U. S. Naval Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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2.73Georgetown University2.790.3%1st Place
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3.35George Washington University2.390.2%1st Place
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5.34George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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6.09U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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4.58Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
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4.16Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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6.07St. Mary's College of Maryland0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Margay | 15.0% | 19.2% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 28.4% | 24.2% | 19.3% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Janov | 19.8% | 17.7% | 18.9% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Jack Fisher | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 16.7% | 18.5% | 18.2% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 21.4% | 32.8% |
| Payne Donaldson | 10.1% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 8.5% |
| Joe Coyne | 13.0% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 4.7% |
| Lucas Masiello | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 23.0% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.