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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.17+2.69vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.39+1.38vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.96+1.10vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.69+0.62vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.30+0.32vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.79-3.28vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.86-0.92vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.79-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69U. S. Naval Academy2.170.2%1st Place
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3.38George Washington University2.390.2%1st Place
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4.1Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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4.62Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
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5.32George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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2.72Georgetown University2.790.3%1st Place
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6.08U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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6.1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Margay | 15.5% | 17.1% | 17.5% | 16.6% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 3.3% |
| Ryan Janov | 18.9% | 20.4% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Joe Coyne | 14.2% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 8.7% | 4.4% |
| Payne Donaldson | 9.6% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 8.5% |
| Jack Fisher | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 18.2% | 18.4% | 16.6% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 28.0% | 24.8% | 18.7% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 22.4% | 33.4% |
| Lucas Masiello | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 15.5% | 22.3% | 31.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.