Race 3A

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Enzo Menditto 17.6% 16.7% 14.0% 11.3% 10.5% 9.5% 7.2% 5.3% 3.6% 2.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Diego Escobar 13.3% 12.8% 12.2% 12.2% 11.3% 10.4% 7.5% 7.2% 5.2% 3.8% 1.9% 1.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Henry Allgeier 13.7% 12.0% 13.9% 13.6% 10.4% 10.7% 8.8% 6.2% 4.4% 3.4% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Diogo Silva 7.6% 7.1% 8.0% 7.6% 9.2% 9.7% 8.8% 10.5% 9.8% 8.9% 6.2% 4.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Tyler Wood 9.9% 9.3% 9.6% 11.9% 9.7% 8.3% 9.8% 7.6% 8.8% 6.5% 4.5% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Landon Cormie 7.3% 8.0% 8.8% 8.2% 8.7% 9.1% 10.9% 10.4% 8.6% 7.4% 6.0% 3.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Raam Fox 4.3% 4.5% 5.3% 5.4% 6.9% 6.9% 7.9% 8.6% 11.0% 10.5% 10.4% 8.5% 5.9% 3.0% 0.8%
Stefano Palamara 2.1% 3.0% 2.8% 2.7% 3.3% 3.6% 4.5% 4.4% 6.2% 7.6% 11.9% 12.9% 15.8% 12.7% 6.2%
Owen MacWilliams 11.3% 11.8% 12.2% 10.4% 11.6% 10.4% 8.5% 7.8% 6.7% 4.7% 2.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Olivia Gilmore 2.7% 3.2% 2.6% 3.2% 4.1% 4.4% 5.7% 6.7% 9.0% 11.5% 10.4% 12.8% 11.4% 8.8% 3.5%
Joshua Bendura 3.4% 4.2% 3.6% 5.0% 4.8% 6.2% 7.0% 8.4% 8.1% 9.7% 11.3% 11.9% 9.1% 5.4% 2.0%
Charlotte Stillman 1.5% 1.6% 1.2% 1.7% 1.8% 2.1% 2.5% 3.9% 3.8% 5.9% 9.0% 13.2% 17.7% 19.9% 14.3%
Brooke Lorson 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 1.2% 1.6% 2.9% 3.2% 4.0% 5.3% 9.0% 14.2% 23.8% 30.0%
Zachary Bender 3.9% 3.9% 4.2% 4.5% 6.0% 6.0% 7.5% 8.1% 9.5% 11.0% 12.0% 10.2% 7.6% 4.4% 1.2%
Brian Zagalsky 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 1.4% 0.7% 1.3% 1.7% 1.8% 2.1% 2.9% 5.1% 6.9% 11.6% 20.5% 41.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.