Race 5A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Tyler Black 9.8% 10.2% 10.3% 10.6% 12.7% 13.8% 13.4% 11.4% 7.8%
Nicholas Dragone 6.4% 7.2% 8.9% 11.7% 12.1% 13.1% 15.3% 13.2% 12.1%
Neal Drake 7.8% 7.2% 9.1% 12.1% 9.5% 12.1% 15.8% 16.1% 10.3%
Conor Lodge 22.1% 21.8% 16.7% 14.0% 10.2% 7.5% 4.3% 2.4% 1.0%
David Pierce 13.1% 15.7% 14.5% 10.8% 11.2% 10.8% 9.6% 8.5% 5.8%
John McGlynn 20.4% 16.5% 18.3% 13.6% 12.7% 9.4% 5.0% 2.7% 1.4%
Michael Reney 10.1% 11.4% 11.9% 12.8% 15.6% 12.4% 11.5% 9.3% 5.0%
Andrea Verdeja 5.4% 5.4% 5.8% 7.6% 7.3% 12.0% 13.4% 17.8% 25.3%
Matthew Butcka 4.9% 4.6% 4.5% 6.8% 8.7% 8.9% 11.7% 18.6% 31.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.