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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.17+2.68vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.39+1.38vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.30+2.29vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.79-1.23vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.96-0.87vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.69-1.40vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.79-0.80vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.86-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68U. S. Naval Academy2.170.2%1st Place
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3.38George Washington University2.390.2%1st Place
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5.29George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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2.77Georgetown University2.790.3%1st Place
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4.13Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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4.6Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
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6.2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.790.0%1st Place
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5.96U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Margay | 16.4% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Ryan Janov | 19.5% | 18.4% | 18.3% | 16.7% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
| Jack Fisher | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 18.0% | 18.6% | 17.2% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 28.9% | 22.6% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Joe Coyne | 11.7% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 3.8% |
| Payne Donaldson | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 8.4% |
| Lucas Masiello | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 22.4% | 36.6% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 21.1% | 29.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.