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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.34+7.79vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.48+6.11vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.85+4.08vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.37+5.81vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.57+3.01vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.68+0.84vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.30-2.01vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.83+2.46vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.27-0.10vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.44+2.80vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.38-1.59vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-1.04vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-2.50vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62-2.47vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.93-2.28vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.02-6.66vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.42-5.04vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.06-9.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.79Dartmouth College2.345.2%1st Place
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8.11Harvard University2.486.8%1st Place
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7.08Yale University2.858.9%1st Place
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9.81Brown University2.374.0%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Naval Academy2.575.7%1st Place
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6.84Tulane University2.6811.2%1st Place
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4.99Stanford University3.3014.9%1st Place
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10.46Tufts University1.834.0%1st Place
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8.9Georgetown University2.275.5%1st Place
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12.8George Washington University1.441.9%1st Place
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9.41College of Charleston2.384.3%1st Place
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10.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.133.7%1st Place
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10.5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.054.3%1st Place
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11.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.623.5%1st Place
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12.72University of Miami1.932.4%1st Place
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9.34Boston College2.024.5%1st Place
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11.96University of Rhode Island1.422.8%1st Place
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8.77Bowdoin College2.066.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Decker | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Stephan Baker | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Blake Behrens | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% |
| Henry Allgeier | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Christian Ebbin | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 14.9% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% |
| Peter Barnard | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 19.6% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| JJ Klempen | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% |
| Charlie Anderson | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% |
| William Kulas | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% |
| Aidan Dennis | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 18.9% |
| Jack Redmond | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 13.2% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.