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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Neal Drake 8.0% 9.1% 8.0% 10.1% 12.2% 11.7% 15.5% 14.5% 10.9%
Conor Lodge 17.1% 20.5% 17.2% 15.4% 11.4% 7.0% 6.5% 3.1% 1.8%
David Pierce 12.7% 11.2% 13.0% 13.9% 11.7% 13.6% 11.2% 7.6% 5.1%
John McGlynn 20.4% 18.5% 17.7% 13.6% 11.3% 8.1% 5.7% 3.4% 1.3%
Tyler Black 10.2% 10.9% 14.0% 10.9% 10.7% 11.2% 12.4% 11.2% 8.5%
Michael Reney 12.2% 12.0% 11.2% 12.4% 12.4% 14.4% 11.6% 8.4% 5.4%
Andrea Verdeja 5.0% 4.5% 5.2% 7.9% 9.0% 11.2% 12.4% 19.7% 25.1%
Nicholas Dragone 9.3% 8.5% 9.2% 9.8% 13.0% 12.5% 13.5% 13.5% 10.7%
Matthew Butcka 5.1% 4.8% 4.5% 6.0% 8.3% 10.3% 11.2% 18.6% 31.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.