← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2University of New Hampshire1.81+3.44vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University2.84+0.57vs Predicted
-
4Bates College2.26+0.55vs Predicted
-
5Wesleyan University2.71-1.51vs Predicted
-
6Amherst College2.01-1.09vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.16-2.35vs Predicted
-
8Brandeis University1.35-1.56vs Predicted
-
10Middlebury College1.85-4.68vs Predicted
-
11Maine Maritime Academy1.21-4.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.44University of New Hampshire1.810.1%1st Place
-
3.57Northeastern University2.840.2%1st Place
-
4.55Bates College2.260.1%1st Place
-
3.49Wesleyan University2.710.2%1st Place
-
4.91Amherst College2.010.1%1st Place
-
4.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.160.1%1st Place
-
6.44Brandeis University1.350.1%1st Place
-
5.32Middlebury College1.850.1%1st Place
-
6.63Maine Maritime Academy1.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neal Drake | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 10.9% |
| Conor Lodge | 17.1% | 20.5% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| David Pierce | 12.7% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% |
| John McGlynn | 20.4% | 18.5% | 17.7% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Tyler Black | 10.2% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 8.5% |
| Michael Reney | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 5.4% |
| Andrea Verdeja | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 19.7% | 25.1% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 10.7% |
| Matthew Butcka | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 18.6% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.