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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+3.22vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+3.20vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.62+3.36vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.07-0.83vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.00+0.35vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.64-2.03vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.69-0.89vs Predicted
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8Bates College0.97-2.60vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.95vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.32-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22Tufts University1.510.2%1st Place
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5.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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6.36Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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3.17University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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5.35Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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3.97Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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6.11Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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5.4Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
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7.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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8.15University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrien Bellanger | 15.5% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Egeli | 9.3% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 3.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 11.0% |
| Miles Williams | 23.9% | 21.3% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Meredith Broadus | 9.5% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 4.8% |
| Grant Adam | 17.2% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 9.2% |
| Ted Lutton | 7.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 5.3% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 15.6% | 19.1% | 19.5% |
| Lauren Miller | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 17.3% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.