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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Conor Lodge 22.2% 18.7% 16.7% 14.8% 11.6% 7.0% 4.9% 3.4% 0.7%
David Pierce 9.1% 13.2% 13.2% 14.0% 14.1% 11.2% 10.8% 10.0% 4.4%
Tyler Black 9.8% 8.7% 11.5% 12.2% 11.3% 13.0% 13.3% 12.3% 7.9%
Nicholas Dragone 8.1% 10.6% 9.6% 11.5% 11.1% 13.7% 11.2% 14.1% 10.1%
Michael Reney 13.4% 12.1% 13.7% 11.6% 11.2% 10.9% 11.4% 9.4% 6.3%
Neal Drake 7.4% 9.2% 9.0% 10.7% 10.8% 15.4% 13.0% 12.6% 11.9%
Matthew Butcka 4.7% 4.7% 4.4% 5.2% 8.6% 9.2% 13.1% 19.1% 31.0%
John McGlynn 19.3% 18.8% 15.4% 13.2% 11.7% 10.0% 6.6% 2.9% 2.1%
Andrea Verdeja 6.0% 4.0% 6.5% 6.8% 9.6% 9.6% 15.7% 16.2% 25.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.