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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Northeastern University2.84+1.37vs Predicted
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3Bates College2.26+1.64vs Predicted
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4Amherst College2.01+1.08vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College1.85+0.24vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.16-1.42vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire1.81-1.59vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy1.21-2.30vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University2.71-6.37vs Predicted
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11Brandeis University1.35-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37Northeastern University2.840.2%1st Place
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4.64Bates College2.260.1%1st Place
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5.08Amherst College2.010.1%1st Place
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5.24Middlebury College1.850.1%1st Place
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4.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.160.1%1st Place
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5.41University of New Hampshire1.810.1%1st Place
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6.7Maine Maritime Academy1.210.0%1st Place
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3.63Wesleyan University2.710.2%1st Place
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6.36Brandeis University1.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Lodge | 22.2% | 18.7% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| David Pierce | 9.1% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 4.4% |
| Tyler Black | 9.8% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 7.9% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 8.1% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 10.1% |
| Michael Reney | 13.4% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 6.3% |
| Neal Drake | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 11.9% |
| Matthew Butcka | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 19.1% | 31.0% |
| John McGlynn | 19.3% | 18.8% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Andrea Verdeja | 6.0% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 25.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.