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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.57+3.68vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.82+3.57vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.09+2.37vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.72+6.48vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20-0.20vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+0.43vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.73+1.83vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.13-0.01vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.59-2.45vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.42-5.80vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech0.97-2.39vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University0.59-2.43vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland-0.85-0.07vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-0.21-2.48vs Predicted
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15American University-0.61-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68U. S. Naval Academy2.5714.0%1st Place
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5.57George Washington University1.8210.5%1st Place
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5.37U. S. Naval Academy2.0911.1%1st Place
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10.48Hampton University0.721.8%1st Place
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4.8Georgetown University2.2014.2%1st Place
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6.43St. Mary's College of Maryland1.797.8%1st Place
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8.83Christopher Newport University0.733.6%1st Place
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7.99St. Mary's College of Maryland1.133.5%1st Place
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6.55Old Dominion University1.596.2%1st Place
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4.2Georgetown University2.4217.8%1st Place
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8.61Virginia Tech0.973.3%1st Place
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9.57Old Dominion University0.592.9%1st Place
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12.93University of Maryland-0.850.6%1st Place
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11.52William and Mary-0.211.5%1st Place
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12.48American University-0.611.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Allgeier | 14.0% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen MacWilliams | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 6.8% |
| Diego Escobar | 14.2% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| Raam Fox | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Diogo Silva | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Enzo Menditto | 17.8% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Bender | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Olivia Gilmore | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 3.5% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 12.5% | 19.7% | 40.5% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 19.8% | 16.1% |
| Brooke Lorson | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 23.8% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.