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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.07+2.13vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+3.20vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.62+3.35vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.00+1.42vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.97+0.43vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.51-1.76vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.64-3.03vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.69-1.96vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.32-0.84vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13University of Rhode Island2.070.3%1st Place
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5.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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6.35Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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5.42Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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5.43Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
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4.24Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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3.97Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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6.04Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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8.16University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
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7.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Williams | 27.3% | 20.6% | 16.1% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Egeli | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 3.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 11.1% |
| Meredith Broadus | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 4.1% |
| Ted Lutton | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 5.2% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 14.7% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Grant Adam | 14.0% | 18.2% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Nolan Cooper | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 8.8% |
| Lauren Miller | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 16.2% | 45.3% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 15.6% | 19.2% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.