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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.69+4.89vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.51+2.15vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.00+2.36vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.07-0.95vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-0.07vs Predicted
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6Bates College0.28+0.80vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.62-0.90vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.11vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.64-5.17vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.32-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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4.15Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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5.36Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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3.05University of Rhode Island2.070.3%1st Place
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4.93Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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6.8Bates College0.280.1%1st Place
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6.1Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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6.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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3.83Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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8.02University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 8.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 14.5% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Meredith Broadus | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| Miles Williams | 25.7% | 21.4% | 17.9% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 11.3% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Jack Valentino | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 16.8% |
| Emil Tullberg | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 8.5% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 15.3% | 19.4% | 16.9% |
| Grant Adam | 16.8% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Lauren Miller | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 17.2% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.