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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+3.08vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.28+4.88vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.07+0.09vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.64-0.18vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.00+0.23vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University0.69-0.09vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-2.00vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.12vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.62-2.91vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.32-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08Tufts University1.510.2%1st Place
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6.88Bates College0.280.0%1st Place
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3.09University of Rhode Island2.070.3%1st Place
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3.82Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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5.23Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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5.91Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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5.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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6.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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6.09Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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8.01University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrien Bellanger | 15.9% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Jack Valentino | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 18.2% | 17.4% |
| Miles Williams | 25.5% | 19.6% | 17.8% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 16.3% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Meredith Broadus | 9.9% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 3.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 7.8% |
| Tyler Egeli | 7.6% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 15.7% | 18.8% | 17.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 8.8% |
| Lauren Miller | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 18.0% | 40.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.