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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.07+2.04vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+3.00vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.64+0.89vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.51+0.11vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.69+0.87vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+0.87vs Predicted
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7Bates College0.28-0.12vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.62-1.95vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.00-3.73vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.32-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04University of Rhode Island2.070.3%1st Place
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5.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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3.89Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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4.11Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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5.87Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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6.87Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.1%1st Place
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6.88Bates College0.280.0%1st Place
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6.05Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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5.27Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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8.01University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Williams | 27.1% | 23.0% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Egeli | 10.7% | 7.8% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 2.4% |
| Grant Adam | 16.5% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 13.8% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 7.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 19.1% |
| Jack Valentino | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 17.0% | 16.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 9.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 3.3% |
| Lauren Miller | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 17.1% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.