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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.64+2.85vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+3.04vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.00+2.32vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.07-0.96vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.69+0.89vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.51-1.93vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.62-0.91vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.14vs Predicted
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9Bates College0.28-2.15vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.32-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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5.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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5.32Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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3.04University of Rhode Island2.070.3%1st Place
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5.89Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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4.07Tufts University1.510.2%1st Place
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6.09Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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6.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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6.85Bates College0.280.0%1st Place
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8.0University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Adam | 17.9% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 9.9% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 2.7% |
| Meredith Broadus | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 3.8% |
| Miles Williams | 25.7% | 21.2% | 17.6% | 14.6% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 8.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 15.5% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Emil Tullberg | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 8.6% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 20.3% | 16.1% |
| Jack Valentino | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 17.6% |
| Lauren Miller | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 17.1% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.