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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+3.94vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.07+1.04vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.64+0.92vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.62+2.10vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.51-0.91vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.00-0.78vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.69-1.02vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.11vs Predicted
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9Bates College0.28-2.16vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.32-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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3.04University of Rhode Island2.070.3%1st Place
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3.92Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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6.1Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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4.09Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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5.22Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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5.98Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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6.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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6.84Bates College0.280.0%1st Place
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7.99University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Egeli | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
| Miles Williams | 27.7% | 20.6% | 16.6% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Grant Adam | 16.1% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 8.7% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 14.7% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 3.7% |
| Nolan Cooper | 4.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 7.6% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 17.6% | 17.5% | 17.2% |
| Jack Valentino | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 18.0% | 16.9% |
| Lauren Miller | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 16.3% | 41.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.