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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.64+2.99vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.98+1.50vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.00+2.34vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.07-0.92vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+1.63vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-0.97vs Predicted
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7Bates College0.97-1.63vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.69-2.05vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.62-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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3.5Tufts University1.980.2%1st Place
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5.34Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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3.08University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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6.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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5.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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5.37Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
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5.95Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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6.1Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Adam | 17.0% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Connor Rosow | 17.9% | 20.5% | 17.1% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Meredith Broadus | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 10.3% |
| Miles Williams | 23.8% | 23.0% | 17.8% | 14.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 17.3% | 32.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 6.9% |
| Ted Lutton | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 9.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 18.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 18.3% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.