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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.07+2.30vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.98+1.52vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.69+3.45vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.00+1.67vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+0.36vs Predicted
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6Bates College0.97-0.31vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.64-2.78vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-0.76vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.62-2.49vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.39-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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3.52Tufts University1.980.2%1st Place
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6.45Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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5.67Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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5.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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5.69Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
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4.22Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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7.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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6.51Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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7.04University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Williams | 24.5% | 20.5% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Connor Rosow | 21.2% | 18.5% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 13.4% |
| Meredith Broadus | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 6.7% |
| Tyler Egeli | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% |
| Ted Lutton | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.4% |
| Grant Adam | 12.4% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 17.3% | 26.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 13.8% |
| James Sullivan | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.