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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+4.33vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.07+1.35vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.97+2.84vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.69+2.38vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.98-1.52vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.00-0.40vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.64-2.82vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.62-1.54vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.66vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.39-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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3.35University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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5.84Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
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6.38Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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3.48Tufts University1.980.2%1st Place
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5.6Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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4.18Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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6.46Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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7.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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7.04University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Egeli | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 5.3% |
| Miles Williams | 23.8% | 19.1% | 16.6% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Ted Lutton | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 8.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 13.1% |
| Connor Rosow | 20.8% | 18.6% | 16.6% | 16.3% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Meredith Broadus | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 6.5% |
| Grant Adam | 13.3% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 15.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 19.8% | 26.5% |
| James Sullivan | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.