Race 8A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Tyler Black 9.7% 9.3% 10.9% 11.1% 12.9% 12.9% 14.4% 11.1% 7.7%
Neal Drake 5.5% 7.7% 10.1% 9.6% 12.1% 12.5% 15.1% 14.3% 13.1%
Andrea Verdeja 4.5% 4.9% 6.4% 8.0% 9.5% 9.4% 12.9% 18.3% 26.1%
David Pierce 12.0% 14.4% 14.8% 13.5% 11.9% 11.7% 10.5% 6.6% 4.6%
Conor Lodge 25.2% 20.8% 13.8% 12.7% 9.6% 7.7% 6.4% 2.3% 1.5%
John McGlynn 19.6% 18.2% 17.5% 13.4% 12.5% 8.8% 6.1% 2.5% 1.4%
Nicholas Dragone 8.0% 7.2% 10.3% 11.1% 11.8% 13.5% 14.2% 13.1% 10.8%
Michael Reney 10.8% 12.9% 11.9% 13.6% 11.2% 13.0% 10.7% 10.2% 5.7%
Matthew Butcka 4.7% 4.6% 4.3% 7.0% 8.5% 10.5% 9.7% 21.6% 29.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.