Race 6A

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Henry Allgeier 15.3% 14.4% 14.1% 12.7% 10.0% 10.1% 7.8% 5.5% 4.2% 3.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen MacWilliams 10.8% 11.7% 11.1% 11.2% 11.2% 10.4% 9.2% 7.1% 7.0% 4.9% 3.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Diego Escobar 13.0% 11.0% 11.6% 12.0% 11.9% 10.0% 8.2% 8.4% 5.3% 4.1% 2.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Tyler Wood 9.3% 9.4% 10.9% 10.9% 9.7% 9.3% 11.2% 8.5% 7.2% 5.4% 4.1% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Diogo Silva 7.0% 7.8% 8.5% 7.8% 8.9% 9.3% 9.5% 8.5% 9.7% 8.6% 7.1% 4.5% 2.5% 0.3% 0.2%
Raam Fox 5.1% 4.5% 5.1% 5.0% 6.6% 6.9% 7.6% 9.7% 10.3% 10.4% 10.4% 8.8% 6.2% 2.8% 0.6%
Landon Cormie 8.7% 8.6% 7.0% 8.9% 9.9% 9.3% 10.1% 8.7% 8.4% 7.5% 6.0% 4.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Enzo Menditto 16.6% 16.6% 14.5% 12.1% 10.9% 9.2% 6.9% 5.9% 3.6% 2.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Olivia Gilmore 2.9% 3.2% 2.9% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 6.0% 6.3% 8.6% 9.6% 11.6% 12.6% 12.7% 8.8% 3.0%
Zachary Bender 3.7% 3.7% 3.5% 5.3% 5.0% 5.3% 6.7% 9.3% 9.5% 11.5% 12.1% 11.1% 7.4% 4.8% 1.2%
Stefano Palamara 1.7% 1.8% 2.9% 3.1% 2.9% 4.1% 4.7% 4.7% 6.3% 9.0% 10.8% 14.8% 14.5% 11.9% 6.8%
Joshua Bendura 3.4% 4.3% 4.0% 3.8% 5.1% 6.0% 7.0% 8.1% 9.8% 10.7% 11.3% 11.3% 8.8% 4.7% 1.6%
Brooke Lorson 1.2% 0.6% 1.3% 1.0% 1.5% 2.2% 1.8% 3.3% 2.9% 3.8% 6.6% 8.9% 13.5% 23.8% 27.7%
Charlotte Stillman 0.8% 1.8% 1.9% 1.8% 1.7% 1.9% 1.7% 3.5% 4.5% 5.5% 7.5% 11.7% 16.9% 21.8% 17.0%
Brian Zagalsky 0.8% 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 1.4% 1.7% 2.4% 2.6% 3.6% 4.2% 6.3% 12.7% 19.7% 41.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.