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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.97+4.66vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+3.46vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.98+0.58vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.64+0.19vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.07-1.69vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.62+0.46vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.00-1.30vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-0.73vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.69-2.66vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.39-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
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5.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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3.58Tufts University1.980.2%1st Place
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4.19Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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3.31University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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6.46Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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5.7Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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7.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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6.34Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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7.05University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Lutton | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 7.5% |
| Tyler Egeli | 8.8% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 6.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 19.5% | 19.2% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Grant Adam | 14.6% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Miles Williams | 22.6% | 20.8% | 17.5% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 14.7% |
| Meredith Broadus | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 7.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 26.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 13.5% |
| James Sullivan | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 16.9% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.