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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.62+5.46vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+3.46vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.07+0.37vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.97+1.72vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.64-0.82vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.00-0.38vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.69-0.59vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-0.72vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.98-5.54vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.39-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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5.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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3.37University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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5.72Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
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4.18Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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5.62Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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6.41Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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7.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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3.46Tufts University1.980.2%1st Place
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7.03University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 15.2% |
| Tyler Egeli | 9.3% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 5.7% |
| Miles Williams | 21.8% | 20.1% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Ted Lutton | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 7.6% |
| Grant Adam | 14.2% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 7.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 13.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 17.5% | 26.8% |
| Connor Rosow | 20.4% | 20.1% | 16.6% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| James Sullivan | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 18.1% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.