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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.07+2.32vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+3.45vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.69+3.44vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.98-0.53vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.97+0.68vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.00-0.37vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.64-2.82vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.62-1.55vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.69vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.39-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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5.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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6.44Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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3.47Tufts University1.980.2%1st Place
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5.68Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
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5.63Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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4.18Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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6.45Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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7.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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7.07University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Williams | 23.9% | 20.4% | 16.5% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Egeli | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 5.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 13.3% |
| Connor Rosow | 20.7% | 19.6% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Ted Lutton | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 7.7% |
| Meredith Broadus | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 6.9% |
| Grant Adam | 13.1% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 14.4% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 18.3% | 27.1% |
| James Sullivan | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.