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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.97+3.97vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+2.91vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.98-0.01vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.64-0.51vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.62+0.57vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.00-1.14vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.39-0.76vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.56vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.69-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
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4.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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2.99Tufts University1.980.3%1st Place
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3.49Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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5.57Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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4.86Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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6.24University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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6.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.1%1st Place
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5.53Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Lutton | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 7.6% |
| Tyler Egeli | 8.0% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 7.7% |
| Connor Rosow | 27.3% | 20.3% | 17.6% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Grant Adam | 19.3% | 20.1% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 15.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 9.9% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 6.3% |
| James Sullivan | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 19.1% | 20.7% |
| Andy Leshaw | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 28.6% |
| Nolan Cooper | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.