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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.27+2.13vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.83+0.41vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.02+0.64vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+0.84vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.31-1.81vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.11-0.67vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.03-1.34vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-1.22-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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2.41University of Rhode Island1.830.3%1st Place
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3.64Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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4.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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3.19Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
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5.33Bates College-0.110.1%1st Place
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6.66University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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6.81Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Garrido | 19.7% | 20.7% | 20.5% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Jonathan Riley | 33.5% | 25.6% | 18.8% | 13.5% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 13.9% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 21.7% | 15.6% | 10.7% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| John Van Zanten | 6.6% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 21.0% | 21.7% | 15.9% | 4.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 17.8% | 21.7% | 19.5% | 17.9% | 13.7% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Harry Stevenson | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 18.3% | 23.8% | 18.8% | 10.7% |
| Will Rudaz | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 14.5% | 29.2% | 39.0% |
| Lauren Gasek | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 13.8% | 26.8% | 44.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.