← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island1.83+1.39vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+2.84vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University1.31+0.16vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.02-0.37vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.27-1.77vs Predicted
-
7Bates College-0.11-1.67vs Predicted
-
8University of New Hampshire-1.03-1.36vs Predicted
-
9Fairfield University-1.22-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.39University of Rhode Island1.830.3%1st Place
-
4.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
-
3.16Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
-
3.63Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
-
3.23Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
-
5.33Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
-
6.64University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
-
6.79Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Riley | 34.7% | 26.2% | 18.2% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| John Van Zanten | 7.0% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 20.8% | 21.0% | 15.3% | 5.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 18.8% | 20.9% | 19.4% | 19.3% | 12.4% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Niall Sheridan | 13.6% | 15.8% | 17.9% | 19.8% | 17.2% | 11.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Marina Garrido | 18.0% | 20.8% | 19.8% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 8.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.7% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 24.7% | 20.3% | 9.7% |
| Will Rudaz | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 12.5% | 29.2% | 39.5% |
| Lauren Gasek | 0.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 13.3% | 26.7% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.