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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+3.78vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.31+1.15vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.27+0.24vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.83-1.57vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.02-1.40vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.11-0.64vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.03-1.36vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-1.22-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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3.15Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
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3.24Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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2.43University of Rhode Island1.830.3%1st Place
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3.6Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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5.36Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.64University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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6.79Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Van Zanten | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 20.6% | 21.9% | 14.0% | 4.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 18.8% | 21.4% | 19.4% | 18.5% | 13.1% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Marina Garrido | 18.6% | 19.2% | 20.5% | 17.4% | 13.7% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Jonathan Riley | 33.0% | 24.7% | 20.0% | 14.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 14.9% | 15.9% | 18.6% | 16.3% | 18.2% | 11.8% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 23.8% | 20.4% | 10.3% |
| Will Rudaz | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 12.9% | 28.9% | 39.8% |
| Lauren Gasek | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 13.9% | 27.4% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.