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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.31+2.07vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.02+1.63vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.27+0.22vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+0.83vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.83-2.58vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-1.03+0.60vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.11-1.58vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-1.22-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
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3.63Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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3.22Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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4.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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2.42University of Rhode Island1.830.3%1st Place
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6.6University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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5.42Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.81Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 19.8% | 20.9% | 22.3% | 16.8% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Niall Sheridan | 14.5% | 14.4% | 18.8% | 19.4% | 17.7% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Marina Garrido | 18.7% | 19.6% | 18.9% | 20.1% | 12.9% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| John Van Zanten | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 22.0% | 22.2% | 14.0% | 4.9% |
| Jonathan Riley | 33.4% | 26.3% | 17.5% | 13.7% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Will Rudaz | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 7.6% | 17.0% | 26.9% | 37.8% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 15.9% | 23.4% | 21.0% | 12.1% |
| Lauren Gasek | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 12.6% | 28.7% | 43.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.