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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.27+2.19vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.02+1.62vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-1.03+3.55vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.11+1.39vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.83-3.58vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.31-3.87vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-3.14vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-1.22-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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3.62Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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6.55University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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5.39Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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2.42University of Rhode Island1.830.3%1st Place
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3.13Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
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4.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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6.83Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Garrido | 19.3% | 18.4% | 21.3% | 18.7% | 12.9% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Niall Sheridan | 14.3% | 14.6% | 18.9% | 19.6% | 17.4% | 10.5% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Will Rudaz | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 27.8% | 38.5% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.5% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 15.8% | 26.0% | 21.5% | 9.6% |
| Jonathan Riley | 32.9% | 27.5% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 19.1% | 20.9% | 20.4% | 18.3% | 12.3% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| John Van Zanten | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 20.2% | 23.9% | 13.6% | 5.9% |
| Lauren Gasek | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 12.7% | 27.9% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.