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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.02+2.53vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.83+0.46vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.27+0.23vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.31-1.81vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-1.22+0.85vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-2.23vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.11-2.59vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.03-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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2.46University of Rhode Island1.830.3%1st Place
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3.23Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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3.19Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
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6.85Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
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4.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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5.41Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.57University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niall Sheridan | 14.4% | 18.1% | 17.3% | 20.0% | 16.5% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Jonathan Riley | 32.0% | 25.6% | 21.0% | 11.3% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 19.7% | 18.4% | 19.5% | 18.4% | 13.6% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 19.2% | 19.9% | 19.7% | 18.6% | 12.7% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Gasek | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 11.9% | 24.0% | 48.6% |
| John Van Zanten | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 20.2% | 21.6% | 13.4% | 4.8% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 17.4% | 22.7% | 22.2% | 10.8% |
| Will Rudaz | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 17.7% | 30.4% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.