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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tyler Black 8.9% 9.2% 9.7% 8.8% 9.6% 11.2% 11.8% 12.8% 11.1% 6.9%
Andrea Verdeja 4.9% 4.2% 5.6% 5.8% 5.4% 9.1% 9.0% 11.7% 18.5% 25.8%
Conor Lodge 18.1% 16.7% 15.0% 12.7% 14.2% 8.8% 5.9% 5.4% 2.5% 0.7%
John McGlynn 16.5% 16.3% 14.7% 13.4% 13.4% 8.8% 6.8% 5.6% 3.3% 1.2%
David Pierce 11.1% 10.8% 10.7% 10.3% 12.0% 11.6% 12.1% 9.0% 8.2% 4.2%
Michael Reney 11.6% 9.3% 9.1% 11.5% 11.8% 10.2% 10.2% 12.4% 7.5% 6.4%
Sean Andrew 12.1% 13.7% 14.8% 13.2% 10.5% 12.9% 9.6% 5.2% 5.6% 2.4%
Nicholas Dragone 6.4% 7.9% 9.2% 9.0% 7.9% 10.7% 13.7% 13.2% 11.7% 10.3%
Neal Drake 6.9% 7.9% 6.7% 9.6% 9.4% 9.2% 12.8% 12.7% 13.8% 11.0%
Matthew Butcka 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.7% 5.8% 7.5% 8.1% 12.0% 17.8% 31.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.