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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.31+2.08vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.27+1.25vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.83-0.62vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.02-0.38vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-0.16vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.03-0.39vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.11-2.58vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-1.22-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
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3.25Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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2.38University of Rhode Island1.830.3%1st Place
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3.62Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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4.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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6.61University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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5.42Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.81Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 19.7% | 21.9% | 20.8% | 17.0% | 11.8% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Marina Garrido | 18.2% | 19.2% | 20.0% | 18.7% | 13.4% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Riley | 34.4% | 25.5% | 19.2% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Niall Sheridan | 13.9% | 17.3% | 15.5% | 19.9% | 18.7% | 10.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| John Van Zanten | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 15.3% | 19.6% | 22.3% | 14.7% | 4.6% |
| Will Rudaz | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 8.1% | 16.6% | 26.4% | 38.3% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 23.1% | 21.0% | 12.2% |
| Lauren Gasek | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 12.2% | 29.2% | 43.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.