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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.27+2.14vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.83+0.43vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.02+0.62vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+0.83vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.31-1.81vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-1.22-0.18vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.03-1.37vs Predicted
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9Bates College-0.11-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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2.43University of Rhode Island1.830.3%1st Place
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3.62Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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4.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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3.19Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
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6.82Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
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6.63University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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5.32Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Garrido | 19.7% | 20.4% | 20.4% | 17.4% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Riley | 33.7% | 24.4% | 19.7% | 12.9% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Niall Sheridan | 14.4% | 16.2% | 17.0% | 19.8% | 17.0% | 10.3% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| John Van Zanten | 6.8% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 19.2% | 24.4% | 13.4% | 5.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 17.8% | 21.1% | 20.5% | 17.4% | 14.4% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Lauren Gasek | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 13.2% | 25.4% | 46.6% |
| Will Rudaz | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 31.3% | 37.7% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 11.9% | 18.0% | 24.1% | 21.2% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.