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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.83+1.34vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+2.76vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.31+0.09vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.27-0.86vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.69-0.98vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.11-1.70vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-1.22-1.19vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.03-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34University of Rhode Island1.830.4%1st Place
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4.76Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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3.09Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
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3.14Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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4.02Tufts University0.690.1%1st Place
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5.3Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.81Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
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6.55University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Riley | 36.2% | 26.3% | 17.9% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| John Van Zanten | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 14.7% | 21.7% | 18.9% | 15.1% | 4.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 19.3% | 22.7% | 20.0% | 17.2% | 12.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Marina Garrido | 19.4% | 20.3% | 19.8% | 18.9% | 12.6% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Simms | 9.4% | 13.0% | 17.6% | 19.0% | 17.1% | 16.8% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.6% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 23.9% | 20.0% | 9.7% |
| Lauren Gasek | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 23.9% | 48.8% |
| Will Rudaz | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 16.2% | 29.8% | 34.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.